Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.210954 0.229762 0.249772 0.272696 0.298291 0.326057 0.358546
2026-01-25 0.173428 0.199040 0.228132 0.263827 0.306726 0.356977 0.420816
2026-02-01 0.151155 0.179986 0.214290 0.258539 0.314721 0.384512 0.479102
2026-02-08 0.134490 0.164719 0.202001 0.252016 0.318369 0.404841 0.528545
2026-02-15 0.122290 0.153321 0.192757 0.247452 0.322806 0.425211 0.578939
2026-02-22 0.115425 0.147877 0.190286 0.250977 0.337662 0.460350 0.653496
2026-03-01 0.107863 0.140730 0.184708 0.249358 0.344633 0.484383 0.713955
2026-03-08 0.100732 0.133534 0.178346 0.245809 0.348054 0.502970 0.767627
2026-03-15 0.093765 0.126026 0.170903 0.239891 0.347080 0.514275 0.810280
2026-03-22 0.091261 0.124594 0.171924 0.246449 0.365622 0.557950 0.913194
2026-03-29 0.088454 0.122490 0.171734 0.251007 0.381215 0.598201 1.015573
2026-04-05 0.084838 0.118944 0.169103 0.251435 0.389922 0.627444 1.101500
2026-04-12 0.079729 0.112992 0.162617 0.245478 0.387828 0.638357 1.155424
2026-04-19 0.074606 0.106763 0.155366 0.237794 0.382171 0.642408 1.196648
2026-04-26 0.070615 0.102053 0.150197 0.233162 0.381405 0.655321 1.258283
2026-05-03 0.066717 0.097275 0.144632 0.227424 0.378074 0.662858 1.309298
2026-05-10 0.063488 0.093383 0.140260 0.223406 0.377491 0.675589 1.373922
2026-05-17 0.061935 0.092066 0.139994 0.226510 0.390478 0.716909 1.512457
2026-05-24 0.059614 0.089389 0.137311 0.225085 0.394581 0.740263 1.611664
2026-05-31 0.057138 0.086339 0.133832 0.221958 0.395030 0.755816 1.693936
2026-06-07 0.054453 0.082824 0.129381 0.216743 0.390826 0.760697 1.749005
2026-06-14 0.053852 0.082736 0.130789 0.222522 0.409487 0.818737 1.960517
2026-06-21 0.052975 0.082137 0.131261 0.226537 0.424819 0.871106 2.168367